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Space Ring Could Shade Earth and Stop Global Warming
By Robert Roy Britt |
A
wild idea to combat global warming suggests creating an artificial ring of
small particles or spacecrafts around Earth to shade the tropics and moderate
climate extremes.
There
would be side effects, proponents admit. An effective sunlight-scattering
particle ring would illuminate our night sky as much as the full Moon, for
example.
And
the price tag would knock the socks off even a big-budget agency like NASA: $6
trillion to $200 trillion for the particle approach. Deploying tiny spacecraft
would come at a relative bargain: a mere $500 billion tops.
But
the idea, detailed today in the online version of the journal Acta Astronautica,
illustrates that climate change can be battled with new technologies, according
to one scientist not involved in the new work.
Mimic
a volcano
All
scientists agree that Earth gets warmer and colder across the eons. A delicate
and ever-changing balance between solar radiation, cloud cover, and
heat-trapping greenhouse gases controls long-term swings from ice
ages to warmer
conditions like today.
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Those
who are often called experts admit to glaring gaps in their knowledge of how
all this works. A study last month revealed
that scientists can't pin down one of the most critical keys: how much sunlight
our planet absorbs versus how much is reflected back into space.
Nonetheless,
most scientists think our climate has warmed significantly over the past
century and will
grow warmer over the next hundred years. Various studies claim the planet
is destined to warm by anywhere from 1 to 20 degrees
Fahrenheit over the next few centuries. Seas will rise
dramatically, the scenario goes, inundating coastal cities. But another
group of scientists argue that the temperature data supporting a warming planet
is not firm and that projections, based on computer modeling, might be wildly
off the mark.
Either
way, perhaps our fate is more in our hands than we might have imagined.
"Reducing
solar insolation by 1.6 percent should overcome a 1.75 K [3 degrees Fahrenheit]
temperature rise," contends a group led by Jerome Pearson, president of
Star Technology and Research, Inc. "This might be accomplished by a
variety of terrestrial or space systems."
The
power of scattering sunlight has been illustrated naturally, the scientists
note. Volcanic eruptions, such as that of Mt.
Pinatubo in 1991, pumped aerosols into the atmosphere and cooled the global
climate by about a degree. Other researchers have suggested such schemes as
adding metallic dust to smoke stacks, to flood the atmosphere and reflect more
sunlight back into space.
In
the newly outlined approach, reflective particles might come from the mining of
Earth, the Moon or asteroids. They'd be put into orbit around the equator.
Alternately, tiny micro-spacecraft could be deployed with reflective umbrellas.
A
ring created by a batch of either "shades the tropics primarily, providing
maximum effectiveness in cooling the warmest parts of our planet," the
scientists write. An early version of their idea was presented but not widely
noticed in 2002.
Eccentric
but reassuring
Those
researchers who don't buy the argument that global warming is occurring at any
significant rate nor that humans are largely to blame may warm up quickly to
the new idea.
Benny
Peiser, a social anthropologist at
"I
don't think that the modest warming trend we are currently experiencing poses
any significant or long-term threat," Peiser told LiveScience.
"Nevertheless, what the paper does show quite impressively is that our
hyper-complex civilization is theoretically and technologically capable of
dealing with any significant climate change we may potentially face in the
future."
Peiser
also notes that the Kyoto
Protocol, a global agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, is
estimated to cost the world economy some $150 billion a year. He also sees a
broader rationale for supporting the seemingly bizarre manner of managing
Earth's temperature budget.
"I
believe that this mindset, despite its apparent eccentricity, is actually
rather reassuring," Peiser said. "It provides concerned people with
ample evidence of the extraordinary human ingenuity that, as so often in the
past, has helped to overcome many predicaments that were regarded as
impenetrable in previous times."
He
also sees an ultimate big-picture reasoning to look favorably on the notion of
controlling Earth's climate.
"Whatever
the cost and regardless of whether there is any major risk due to global
warming," Peiser said, "it would appear to me that such a space-based
infrastructure will evolve sooner or later, thus forming additional stepping
stones of our emerging migration towards outer space."